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Circular References
Financial Modelling Principles
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The World Population will be 8,369,094,344 in 2027.
The World Population will be 8,369,094,344 in 2027. Google says so. -
In Memory of Daniel Kahneman
The great psychologist Daniel Kahneman has died, aged 90. His masterpiece, Thinking, Fast and Slow, is the book which makes us think about how we think. -
How Accurate is your Financial Model?
Maybe you are confident that it is correct and you are happy, for example, to “debt size” an exact number correct to two decimal places and present that as an ... -
Why I Care About Apostrophe’s
It pained me to put an incorrect apostrophe in the title. -
Junaid Mubeen’s Mathematical Intelligence
Or what we have that machines don’t. -
Christmas List 2022
Here is what is on my Christmas list and these books should appeal to other financial modellers too: -
Marginal Gains
Cycling teams are famous for their marginal gains. Small incremental improvements in any process amount to a significant improvement when they are added together. -
Why Human Fallibility Causes Financial Modelling Problems
Of course we make mistakes. We are, after all, only human. -
In Praise of a Portuguese Lunch
In my experience, lunch is taken seriously in Portugal. -
Would You Check Your Phone Whilst Driving?
We all hope that the answer to that is no. -
Masterclass in Infrastructure and Project Finance
I’m very much looking forward to contributing, along with a panel of industry experts, to a brand new Masterclass in Infrastructure and Project Finance, hosted by IJGlobal and Euromoney Learning. -
“The only certainty is that nothing is certain.” Pliny the Elder
It is January again, time for the annual round of predictions. Most headlines talk about what “will” happen. Whatever happened to the word “may”? In an age when we crave ... -
My Tips for What a Financial Modeller Needs to Do Over Christmas
Resting, thinking and puzzling. -
“If I had an hour to solve a problem, I would spend 55 minutes thinking about the problem and five minutes thinking about solutions.” Albert Einstein
This is precisely why financial modellers need to take holidays. And on those holidays, they need to relax and let their minds wander and be able to indulge in the ... -
Can You Teach an Old Dog New Tricks?
I have been retraining my 9-year old dog. There were too many bad habits and we had rather given up with her. However, we have been working hard on changing ... -
Tim Harford’s How to Make the World Add Up
Everyone, and especially modellers, should read Tim Harford’s book, How to Make the World Add Up. The aim of the book is to encourage people to understand statistical truths and ... -
“You Don’t Need Training”
So said my boss when I wanted to do a negotiation skills course. I tried to tell him that if I could not persuade him to let me take the ... -
“Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication” Leonardo da Vinci
I found a formula in a financial model once which had 62 sets of brackets, 16 functions and 60 cells (there are plenty like this around). -
How to Test a Financial Modeller
What are the skills financial modellers need?